Thursday, November 3, 2011

Operator groups from Asia and Latin America are rising up in terms of subscriber base

Operator groups present in fast-growing mobile markets in Asia and Latin America are continuing to rise up the rankings in the latest Wireless Intelligence 'Scoreboard,' which this month tracked the top 20 global operator groups based on majority-owned assets in Q2 2011. Minority holdings (less than 50% plus one share) are excluded from this analysis.


The top five positions are unchanged from when we last tracked the connections 'Scoreboard' a year ago (Q2 2010), but there were significant rises elsewhere for operators based in markets such as China, India and Indonesia.


However, the largest increase in the ranking was due to a merger: VimpelCom's acquisition of Wind Telecom, which closed earlier this year. The US$6 billion deal saw VimpelCom acquire the Wind-branded businesses in Italy, plus (via Wind's majority stake in Orascom Telecom) the Orascom networks in fast-growing markets such as Pakistan, Bangladesh and Algeria as well as its indirect ownership of Wind Canada.


The consolidation of the Wind Telecom businesses into VimpelCom led to a 115 percent year-on-year increase in VimpelCom's connections base in Q2, propelling it eight places up our ranking list to #6 on 191.9 million total connections. VimpelCom's expansion pushed both China Unicom (#7) and India's Reliance (#8) down one place each from a year ago.


Meanwhile, the top five spots are all held by operator groups with over 200 million total connections each. China Mobile (#1) remains the world's largest mobile operator by some distance, surpassing 600 million connections in Q2 2011. Vodafone (#2), America Movil (#3), Telefonica (#4) and Indian market-leader Bharti (#5) make up the rest of the top five. Bharti's US$3.2 billion in mobile revenue in Q2 2011 is considerably lower than the four other operators in the top five, reflecting Bharti's presence in the ultra low-cost, low-margin Indian and African markets.


China Mobile's two main domestic rivals also make the top 20; China Unicom at #7 and China Telecom at #12, the latter rising up the ranking by seven places year-on-year. Indian operators are also well-represented; as well as Bharti (#5), Reliance (#8), Idea Cellular (#17), state-owned BSNL (#18) and Tata Docomo (#19) also feature in the top 20. India was also the main driver of connections growth at Vodafone (#2) over the year. The UK-based firm agreed to increase its stake in the country's third-placed operator, Vodafone Essar, earlier this year.


Operators in mature markets saw much slower growth, and in some cases connections are in decline. Deutsche Telekom (#14), for example, dropped six places in our ranking from a year ago and reported a 2 percent fall in connections to 105.9 million. France Telecom (#21) dropped out of the top 20 altogether, despite an 8 percent year-on-year increase in connections in their majority-owned markets to 84.9 million. France Telecom has one of the highest proportions of minority ownership stakes – including UK joint-venture Everything Everywhere – the total of which would give the group 192 million connections. Both European giants are in the process of disposing of non-core assets. France Telecom is looking to sell-off minority assets in Portugal, Austria and Switzerland, while Deutsche Telekom is in the process of attempting to sell its US business (T-Mobile USA) to AT&T.


US market-leader Verizon Wireless (#13) fell two positions from last year, while rival AT&T (#16) was unchanged. Like the mature European operators, however, mobile revenues were significantly higher than at their emerging market counterparts. The next edition of the Wireless Intelligence 'Scoreboard' will track the top 20 operator groups by revenue in Q4 2011.

Mobile operator group global ranking by connections; Q2 2011


RankOperator GroupConnections (million)YoY growth, connectionsYoY change, rankMobile revenue (US$ billion)
1China Mobile616.811%020.3
2Vodafone Group367.415%015.5
3América Móvil Group236.012%07.7
4Telefónica Group227.347%012.5
5Bharti Airtel Group221.225%03.2
6VimpelCom Group191.9115%+84.6
7China Unicom181.616%-14.0
8Reliance Comms143.329%-11.0
9Telenor Group123.636%+42.7
10MTN Group119.418%03.5
11Sistema Group110.88%-22.5
12China Telecom108.445%+72.4
13Verizon Wireless106.37%-214.7
14Deutsche Telekom105.9-2%-69.4
15Telkomsel102.316%+11.4
16AT&T98.610%014.2
17Idea Cellular95.138%+51.0
18BSNL93.729%+2--
19Tata DOCOMO (TTSL)91.025%+2--
20Telecom Italia Group86.816%-24.8

Source: Wireless Intelligence

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